← Reaper Game Store - Texas Regional
Water GenbuTier 2
at Reaper Game Store - Texas Regional
decks
2
(3.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
5-4-2
overall winrate
54.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.5%
avg ELO +2.0 per match
expected value
52.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1436
· median 1436
· range 1347–1525
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1016
Q1 1206
Q3 1350
1607
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.8% | -2.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.2 |
| Fire Suited | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 3.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.9% | +7.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chess | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.2 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.4% | -18.6 |
| Water Kongming | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slice & Dice | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.0% | +8.1 |
| Wind Byakko | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.8 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Genbu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
