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Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at Reaper Game Store - Texas Regional
decks
5
(8.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
27
12-13-2
overall winrate
48.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.6%
avg ELO -2.0 per match
expected value
49.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1329
· median 1303
· range 1258–1474
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1016
Q1 1206
Q3 1350
1607
20% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.2% | +1.1 |
| Slimes | 7.1% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 36.5% | -7.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.1% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 56.5% | +4.2 |
| Fire Suited | 5.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.4% | -15.0 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.5% | +0.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 57.1% | +6.8 |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.2% | -2.7 |
| Water Genbu | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.0% | -6.7 |
| Chess | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.1 |
| Fire Oblation | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.1 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slice & Dice | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.5 |
| Wind Arcane | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
