Illusive RDO Online Regionals 26/04/26

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Slimes	Tier 1	7	10.3%	21-19-7	52.1%	49.6%	48.6%	48.7%	1382	—
2		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	6	8.8%	13-14-6	48.5%	52.3%	51.0%	51.3%	1295	↓ low
3		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	6	8.8%	18-15-4	54.1%	50.7%	50.3%	49.6%	1445	↑ top
4		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	4	5.9%	11-12-3	48.1%	49.4%	48.7%	49.8%	1416	—
5		Water Fractal	Tier 1	3	4.4%	9-5-4	61.1%	56.1%	54.8%	52.7%	1360	—
6		Wind Razorgale	Tier 1	3	4.4%	9-6-5	57.5%	55.0%	53.2%	52.2%	1351	—
7		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 1	3	4.4%	10-7-3	57.5%	48.9%	51.6%	49.2%	1499	↑ top
8		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	2	2.9%	6-6-0	50.0%	55.4%	53.3%	52.7%	1289	↓ low
9		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	2	2.9%	5-5-2	50.0%	53.4%	48.5%	50.5%	1329	↓ low
10		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	2.9%	7-5-3	56.7%	54.6%	51.9%	51.6%	1369	—
11		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	2	2.9%	6-6-0	50.0%	47.2%	44.1%	46.6%	1512	↑ top
12		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	2	2.9%	6-5-1	54.2%	53.0%	47.4%	49.3%	1350	—
13		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	2	2.9%	9-2-3	75.0%	58.2%	57.1%	52.8%	1414	—
14		Water Allies	Tier 2	2	2.9%	2-6-2	30.0%	42.1%	45.0%	47.6%	1330	↓ low
15		Water Exia	Tier 2	2	2.9%	3-8-3	32.1%	49.8%	44.5%	49.8%	1261	↓ low
16		Water Genbu	Tier 2	2	2.9%	7-2-5	67.9%	53.0%	56.3%	51.9%	1410	—
17		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	2	2.9%	2-6-3	31.8%	39.6%	43.9%	45.8%	1403	—
18		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	2	2.9%	3-6-1	35.0%	46.3%	44.5%	48.0%	1454	↑ top
19		Fire Arcane	Tier 3	1	1.5%	2-5-0	28.6%	45.7%	36.7%	45.0%	1378	—
20		Fire Exia	Tier 2	1	1.5%	4-1-2	71.4%	56.6%	55.8%	53.1%	1424	—
21		Fire Ravishing Mill	Tier 3	1	1.5%	0-2-0	0.0%	44.5%	40.0%	46.8%	1331	↓ low
22		Fire Umbra Ciel	Tier 2	1	1.5%	3-1-3	64.3%	49.1%	53.8%	50.1%	1436	↑ top
23		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	1	1.5%	4-3-0	57.1%	51.1%	52.5%	50.5%	1436	↑ top
24		Slimes	Tier 2	1	1.5%	4-3-0	57.1%	48.0%	48.1%	47.1%	1410	—
25		Water Exalted Mordred	Tier 3	1	1.5%	0-3-1	12.5%	35.5%	40.7%	43.4%	1426	—
26		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	1.5%	3-3-1	50.0%	52.4%	50.5%	51.4%	1353	—
27		Water Neos	Tier 3	1	1.5%	1-5-0	16.7%	41.2%	42.6%	47.2%	1205	↓ low
28		Water Tera Kongming	Tier 3	1	1.5%	1-5-0	16.7%	45.1%	39.6%	47.1%	1184	↓ low
29		Wind Allies	Tier 3	1	1.5%	2-4-1	35.7%	42.8%	45.5%	46.9%	1597	↑ top
30		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	1.5%	5-2-0	71.4%	55.5%	57.0%	52.4%	1419	—
31		Wind Neos	Tier 3	1	1.5%	1-3-2	33.3%	46.6%	44.4%	47.6%	1331	↓ low
32		Wind Silvie	Tier 2	1	1.5%	2-4-1	35.7%	42.1%	49.1%	48.4%	1394	—
33		Wind Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	1.5%	1-1-0	50.0%	46.3%	50.0%	47.8%	1546	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Slimes 7 decks · 10.3%
• Fire Crux Mage 6 decks · 8.8%
• Wind Seiryuu 6 decks · 8.8%
• Water Aetherwing 4 decks · 5.9%
• Water Fractal 3 decks · 4.4%
• Wind Razorgale 3 decks · 4.4%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 3 decks · 4.4%
• Fire Aetherwing 2 decks · 2.9%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 2 decks · 2.9%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 2.9%
• Fire Oblation 2 decks · 2.9%
• Fire Suzaku 2 decks · 2.9%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 2 decks · 2.9%
• Water Allies 2 decks · 2.9%
• Water Exia 2 decks · 2.9%
• Water Genbu 2 decks · 2.9%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 2.9%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 2.9%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 1.5%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 1.5%
• Fire Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 1.5%
• Fire Umbra Ciel 1 deck · 1.5%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 1.5%
• Slimes 1 deck · 1.5%
• Water Exalted Mordred 1 deck · 1.5%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 1.5%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 1.5%
• Water Tera Kongming 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Neos 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Silvie 1 deck · 1.5%
• Wind Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 1.5%