← Illusive RDO Online Regionals 26/04/26
Fire SlimesTier 1
at Illusive RDO Online Regionals 26/04/26
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.8% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.1% | -2.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.8% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -0.9 |
| Water Fractal | 4.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.3% | -8.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.1% | -9.5 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.8% | -7.0 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.0% | -6.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.9% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 51.4% | +1.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.2 |
| Fire Oblation | 2.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.6% | +9.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.9% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 44.9% | -3.8 |
| Water Allies | 2.9% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 55.4% | +4.0 |
| Water Exia | 2.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.4% | -1.5 |
| Water Genbu | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.5% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 58.6% | +6.4 |
| Fire Exia | 1.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.3% | -6.4 |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 1.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.7% | -5.3 |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.3 |
| Slimes | 1.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.0% | +8.7 |
| Water Exalted Mordred | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.1% | -1.8 |
| Water Neos | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.9% | +4.7 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 55.0% | +4.8 |
| Wind Allies | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.3 |
| Wind Silvie | 1.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +1.7 |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 7 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 22 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heirloom of Libra | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Angel Attendant | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Undeniable Truth | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Liminal Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime King | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ghastly Slime | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lustrous Slime | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Inferno Slime | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tera Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Immolation Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdant Scepter | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdant Slime | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Twilight Slime | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Disenchant | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |