← Illusive RDO Online Regionals 26/04/26
Water Exalted MordredTier 3
at Illusive RDO Online Regionals 26/04/26
decks
1
(1.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-3-1
overall winrate
12.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
35.5%
avg ELO -9.3 per match
expected value
40.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1426
· median 1426
· range 1426–1426
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1095
Q1 1321
Q3 1438
1624
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Slimes | 10.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.1 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | -4.0 |
| Wind Silvie | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Exalted Mordred decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
