← Yolo Tcg Park Malaysia Grand Archive RDO Regional
Fire AggroTier 1
at Yolo Tcg Park Malaysia Grand Archive RDO Regional
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 18.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 45.3% | -3.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.7% | +1.6 |
| Water Fractal | 7.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 48.4% | -1.6 |
| Fire Oblation | 5.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.8 |
| Wind Slimes | 5.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 54.6% | +4.4 |
| Water Exia | 3.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | +1.9 |
| Water Neos | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +9.0 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 3.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | +1.9 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.1 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.6% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.4% | -5.0 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.2% | -20.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 1.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.3% | -7.4 |
| Wind Silvie | 1.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.2% | -1.7 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +16.4 |
Decklists · 5 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 23 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 23 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reduce to Ash | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Peer Beyond | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Liminal Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Three of Hearts | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reveal the Hidden | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Xiao Qiao, Cinderkeeper | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trivial Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Flame Sweep | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Peppered Chef | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dazzling Courtesan | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Infernal Vessel | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fiery Momentum | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Immolation Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fiery Interference | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Red Hare, Unrivaled Stallion | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| March Hare, Mottled Host | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tempered Steel | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |