← Yolo Tcg Park Malaysia Grand Archive RDO Regional
Water AetherwingTier 1
at Yolo Tcg Park Malaysia Grand Archive RDO Regional
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 54.7% | +3.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.3% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +0.4 |
| Water Fractal | 7.3% | 5 | 4-1-0 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 59.9% | +5.7 |
| Fire Oblation | 5.5% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 62.3% | +7.9 |
| Wind Slimes | 5.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +1.1 |
| Fire Suited | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 3.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.2% | +15.6 |
| Water Neos | 3.6% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 62.4% | +9.3 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 3.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.2% | +15.6 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 69.1% | +18.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -1.1 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.9% | -4.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 41.2% | -14.1 |
| Fire Exia | 1.8% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.7% | -6.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.7% | -1.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.9% | +20.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 40.0% | -16.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.6 |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Slimes | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 1.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 40.2% | -15.6 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 1.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.6% | -4.2 |
| Wind Arcane | 1.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.0% | -2.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.8% | -10.0 |
| Wind Silvie | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.8% | +18.9 |
Decklists · 10 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 41 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 41 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerulean Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Diana, Haunt Reminiscence | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reposition | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Frostbind | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Refreshing Charge | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Evasive Maneuvers | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Palvor Sword | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Aetheric Calibration | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Snow White, Weiss Queen | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Ranger Strides | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Topsy Decree | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Overlapping Visages | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Backup Charger | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inert Sword | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| The Looking Glass | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Seeker's Aetherwing | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Song of Frost | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fortifying Manashot | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fractal of Rain | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Snow Fairy | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Diana, Judgment's Arrow | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Enfeebling Orb | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dahlia, Idyllic Dreamer | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Liquidation | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shademist Priestess | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mana's Cascade | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vantage Point | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Diamond Ribbon | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mystic Purifier | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tidal Lock | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dissuading Aether | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Undercurrent Vantage | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reveal the Hidden | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Drown in Aether | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Take Aim | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Disenchant | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |