← Yolo Tcg Park Malaysia Grand Archive RDO Regional
Fire OblationTier 2
at Yolo Tcg Park Malaysia Grand Archive RDO Regional
decks
3
(5.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
6-6-3
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
34.2%
avg ELO -6.4 per match
expected value
48.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1326
· median 1249
· range 1224–1505
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1029
Q1 1122
Q3 1273
1532
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 18.2% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 37.7% | -7.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.3% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.2% | -4.4 |
| Water Fractal | 7.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +2.0 |
| Wind Slimes | 5.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.2% | -6.5 |
| Water Exia | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +2.0 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 1.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 36.5% | -21.5 |
| Slimes | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.4 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Oblation decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
