← Yolo Tcg Park Malaysia Grand Archive RDO Regional

Fire Crux MageTier 2

at Yolo Tcg Park Malaysia Grand Archive RDO Regional

decks
4 (7.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
22 8-12-2
overall winrate
40.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.9% avg ELO -2.3 per match
expected value
47.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1207 · median 1193 · range 1162–1279 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1029 Q1 1122 Q3 1273 1532
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Aetherwing 18.2% 4 2-2-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.3% -0.4
Fire Aggro 9.1% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 48.3% -1.6
Water Fractal 7.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.9% -12.9
Fire Oblation 5.5% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 55.8% +4.4
Wind Slimes 5.5% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 48.9% -0.8
Fire Suited 3.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.9% -16.2
Water Exia 3.6% 0
Water Neos 3.6% 0
Water Whirlpool Mill 3.6% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 3.6% 0
Wind Razorgale 3.6% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 3.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.8% -13.2
Fire Aetherwing 1.8% 0
Fire Arcane 1.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.0% +12.8
Fire Exia 1.8% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 1.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.3% -15.6
Fire Luxem Assassin 1.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.4% -7.3
Fire Slimes 1.8% 0
Fire Suzaku 1.8% 0
Fire Umbra Alice 1.8% 0
Slimes 1.8% 0
Water Astra Diana 1.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.0% +12.9
Water Tera Kongming 1.8% 0
Wind Allies 1.8% 0
Wind Arcane 1.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 36.9% -21.0
Wind Seiryuu 1.8% 0
Wind Silvie 1.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.3% +14.9
Wind Wakeup Combo 1.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.2% -10.9
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 43 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 43 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 1 0
Fragmented Spirit of Fire +1.00 1 0 0
Mnemonic Charm +1.00 1 0 0
Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin -1.00 0 1 0
Spurn to Ash +1.00 1 0 0
Heavenly Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Coronation Ceremony -1.00 0 1 0
Backup Charger +1.00 1 0 0
Gentle Respite -1.00 0 1 0
Lost Providence +1.00 1 0 0
Crux Sight +1.00 1 0 0
Inert Sword -1.00 0 1 0
Evercurrent Raider +1.00 1 0 0
Cremation Ritual -1.00 0 1 0
Turbo Charge +1.00 1 0 0
Crystallized Destiny -1.00 0 1 0
Morgan, Soul Guide -1.00 0 1 0
Safeguard Amulet +1.00 1 0 0
The Looking Glass -1.00 0 1 0
Spirit Blade: Ascension +1.00 1 0 0
Disenchant +1.00 1 0 0
Sabela, Gossamer Penance -1.00 0 1 0
Regal Inquisition -1.00 0 1 0
Topsy Decree +1.00 1 0 0
Orb of Sealing +1.00 1 0 0
Reclaim +1.00 1 0 0
Reduce to Ash -1.00 0 1 0
Spirit of Fire -1.00 0 1 0
Angel Attendant -1.00 0 1 0
Angelic Channeling +1.00 1 0 0
Dungeon Guide -1.00 0 1 0
Incarnate Majesty -1.00 0 1 0
Nimue, Cursed Touch -1.00 0 1 0
Devastating Blow +1.00 1 0 0
Fluffy Shopkeep +1.00 1 0 0
Benediction Angel +1.00 1 0 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint -1.00 0 1 0
Flame Sweep -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Reprogram -1.00 0 1 0
Tariff Ring -1.00 0 1 0
Rending Flames -1.00 0 1 0
Prismatic Edge +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/50904/archetypes/Fire Crux Mage