← Yolo Tcg Park Malaysia Grand Archive RDO Regional
Water ExiaTier 2
at Yolo Tcg Park Malaysia Grand Archive RDO Regional
decks
2
(3.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
3-4-0
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.2%
avg ELO -3.4 per match
expected value
44.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1191
· median 1191
· range 1155–1226
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1029
Q1 1122
Q3 1273
1532
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 18.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.8% | -15.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.0% | -1.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 7.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Fire Oblation | 5.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 5.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.2 |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
