← 5/02/2026 [TCG] League RDO NA Online Grand Archive Regional #1
Fire AetherwingTier 2
at 5/02/2026 [TCG] League RDO NA Online Grand Archive Regional #1
decks
2
(2.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
8-5-2
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.4%
avg ELO +1.4 per match
expected value
55.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1553
· median 1553
· range 1508–1597
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1076
Q1 1237
Q3 1425
1656
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Slimes | 9.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.2% | +10.8 |
| Water Fractal | 6.9% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 55.0% | +3.7 |
| Fire Oblation | 4.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.2 |
| Water Genbu | 4.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.8% | +6.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.9% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 40.3% | -7.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.8% | +6.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.2 |
| Fire Suited | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -1.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exalted Mordred | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.5% | -5.6 |
| Water Neos | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Wind Vanitas | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Nico | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Kongming | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Aetherwing decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
