← 5/02/2026 [TCG] League RDO NA Online Grand Archive Regional #1

Fire SlimesTier 1

at 5/02/2026 [TCG] League RDO NA Online Grand Archive Regional #1

decks
10 (9.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
49 24-21-4
overall winrate
53.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.7% avg ELO +0.6 per match
expected value
52.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.2% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1349 · median 1352 · range 1156–1578 (10 pilots with an ELO rating)
1076 Q1 1237 Q3 1425 1656
30% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 20% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Razorgale 8.8% 10 2-7-1 25.0% 32.1% 46.3% -1.7
Fire Crux Lorraine 7.8% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 54.9% +4.7
Fire Crux Mage 6.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 52.8% +4.5
Water Fractal 6.9% 5 1-2-2 40.0% 44.4% 48.2% -1.0
Fire Oblation 4.9% 4 2-2-0 50.0% 50.0% 51.4% +0.9
Water Genbu 4.9% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 48.2% -1.4
Fire Firebloom Burn 3.9% 3 3-0-0 100.0% 71.4% 57.7% +5.8
Water Aetherwing 3.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.0% +6.4
Wind Seiryuu 3.9% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.9% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 60.9% +10.5
Wind Shadowstrike 2.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.9% +3.1
Fire Aetherwing 2.0% 0
Fire Exia 2.0% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 44.6% -4.0
Fire Suited 2.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.3% +10.2
Fire Suzaku 2.0% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 45.1% -3.7
Fire Umbra Guardian 2.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.7% -6.9
Horse and Taxes 2.0% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 2.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 52.6% +4.1
Wind Astra Cleric 2.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.3% +6.9
Wind Wakeup Combo 2.0% 3 0-3-0 0.0% 28.6% 41.7% -6.2
Fire Arcane 1.0% 0
Fire Exalted Mordred 1.0% 0
Fire Tera Mage 1.0% 0
Water Astra Cleric 1.0% 0
Water Astra Ranger 1.0% 0
Water Crux Merlin 1.0% 0
Water Exia 1.0% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 1.0% 0
Water Neos 1.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.1% +8.1
Water Tera Mage 1.0% 0
Water Wind Vanitas 1.0% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 54.2% +4.0
Wind Crux Lorraine 1.0% 0
Wind Crux Mage 1.0% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 1.0% 0
Wind Nico 1.0% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.8% +1.2
Wind Silvie 1.0% 0
Wind Tera Kongming 1.0% 0
Decklists · 10 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

Winners more often ran: Liminal Guide, Blanche, Sheltering Saint, Tera Sight. Losers more often ran: Lost Providence, Escape the Wreckage, Disenchant.

Played more by winners
Liminal Guide
Winning decks ran 2.7 copies on average, losing decks 1.3.
Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Blanche, Sheltering Saint
Winning decks ran 1.3 copies on average, losing decks 0.7.
Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Tera Sight
Winning decks ran 0.7 copies on average, losing decks 0.3.
Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Crystallized Destiny
Winning decks ran 0.7 copies on average, losing decks 0.7.
Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Played more by losers
Lost Providence
Losing decks ran 0.7 copies on average, winning decks 0.3.
Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Escape the Wreckage
Losing decks ran 1.3 copies on average, winning decks 0.7.
Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Disenchant
Losing decks ran 2.0 copies on average, winning decks 1.0.
Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Show all 37 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 30 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand +0.67 2 0 0
Angelic Channeling +0.67 2 0 0
Viridian Protective Trinket -0.67 0 2 1
Heavenly Guide +0.67 2 0 1
Lustrous Slime -0.67 0 2 1
Slime Eruption -0.67 0 2 1
Verdant Scepter +0.67 2 0 0
Regal Inquisition +0.67 2 0 0
Beastbond Ears +0.67 2 0 0
Undeniable Truth +0.33 1 0 2
Forest Cake -0.33 0 1 0
Liminal Guide +0.33 2 1 0
Slime King +0.33 1 0 2
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +0.33 2 1 0
Lost Providence -0.33 1 2 0
Stalwart Shieldmate -0.33 0 1 0
Tera Sight +0.33 2 1 0
Crystallized Destiny +0.33 2 1 0
Tariff Ring -0.33 0 1 0
Escape the Wreckage -0.33 1 2 0
Nullifying Mirror -0.33 0 1 0
Disenchant -0.33 1 2 0
Angel Attendant -0.33 0 1 0
Expel the Departed -0.33 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern -0.33 0 1 0
Hymn of Gaia's Grace -0.33 0 1 0
Ghastly Slime +0.00 1 1 1
Gaia's Songbird +0.00 1 1 1
Quicksilver Grail +0.00 1 1 1
Verdant Slime +0.00 1 1 1
Twilight Slime +0.00 1 1 1
Blissful Calling +0.00 1 1 0
Xiao Qiao, Cinderkeeper +0.00 1 1 0
Inferno Slime +0.00 1 1 0
Infernal Vessel +0.00 1 1 0
Magnificent Banquet +0.00 1 1 0
Ducal Seal +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/50924/archetypes/Fire Slimes