← 5/02/2026 [TCG] League RDO NA Online Grand Archive Regional #1
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at 5/02/2026 [TCG] League RDO NA Online Grand Archive Regional #1
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Slimes | 9.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.2% | -4.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.2% | +7.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.8% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 58.9% | +6.6 |
| Water Fractal | 6.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +1.0 |
| Fire Oblation | 4.9% | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 44.8% | -3.0 |
| Water Genbu | 4.9% | 6 | 2-3-1 | 41.7% | 45.0% | 51.0% | +0.6 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.9% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 51.0% | +0.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.9% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +1.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.6% | -5.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.8% | -10.8 |
| Fire Exia | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.7 |
| Fire Suited | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.6% | -5.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.8% | -1.1 |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.9% | +7.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exalted Mordred | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.3% | -4.3 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.2% | +5.1 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.7% | +4.2 |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Wind Vanitas | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.2 |
| Wind Nico | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Kongming | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.7 |
Decklists · 7 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 20 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 20 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fragmented Spirit of Fire | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Palvor Sword | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Liminal Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Shadows | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Meltdown | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gentle Respite | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nascent Blast | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tome of Sorcery | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sabela, Gossamer Penance | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Fire | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Angel Attendant | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nimue, Cursed Touch | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fluffy Shopkeep | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flamewreath Call | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |