← 5/02/2026 [TCG] League RDO NA Online Grand Archive Regional #1
Fire ExiaTier 2
at 5/02/2026 [TCG] League RDO NA Online Grand Archive Regional #1
decks
2
(2.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
4-6-1
overall winrate
40.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.8%
avg ELO -0.5 per match
expected value
50.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1335
· median 1335
· range 1317–1352
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1076
Q1 1237
Q3 1425
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Slimes | 9.8% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.4% | +4.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.5% | +5.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.7 |
| Water Fractal | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.1% | -6.2 |
| Fire Suited | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.9% | -3.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.5% | -5.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exalted Mordred | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Wind Vanitas | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -7.7 |
| Wind Nico | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.3 |
| Wind Tera Kongming | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Exia decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
