Santa Clara Covention Center NorCal Regional hosted by Final Cut TCG

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Slimes	Tier 1	9	14.1%	21-18-3	53.6%	48.9%	50.4%	49.8%	1369	—
2		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	6	9.4%	9-20-3	32.8%	36.7%	47.0%	47.2%	1250	↓ low
3		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	5	7.8%	13-16-2	45.2%	40.8%	51.8%	49.4%	1374	—
4		Water Fractal	Tier 1	4	6.2%	15-6-2	69.6%	62.0%	54.9%	53.5%	1427	↑ top
5		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	4	6.2%	14-8-3	62.0%	57.2%	49.3%	48.7%	1411	↑ top
6		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	3	4.7%	7-10-0	41.2%	47.1%	48.7%	51.9%	1389	—
7		Fire Suzaku	Tier 1	3	4.7%	10-6-1	61.8%	52.2%	51.8%	51.2%	1414	↑ top
8		Water Exia	Tier 2	3	4.7%	7-9-1	44.1%	42.9%	47.8%	47.2%	1294	—
9		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	2	3.1%	6-4-2	58.3%	68.8%	50.2%	56.8%	1150	↓ low
10		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	2	3.1%	4-6-0	40.0%	43.7%	47.3%	47.6%	1337	—
11		Water Genbu	Tier 2	2	3.1%	9-3-0	75.0%	59.6%	55.1%	52.4%	1517	↑ top
12		Water Tera Kongming	Tier 2	2	3.1%	5-4-3	54.2%	50.2%	49.8%	48.7%	1378	—
13		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	2	3.1%	3-6-2	36.4%	44.9%	44.4%	46.2%	1242	↓ low
14		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	2	3.1%	6-6-0	50.0%	47.9%	52.2%	51.8%	1471	↑ top
15		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	2	3.1%	5-7-0	41.7%	62.5%	45.3%	51.5%	1154	↓ low
16		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 3	1	1.6%	2-5-0	28.6%	38.9%	45.5%	47.5%	1195	↓ low
17		Fire Neos	Tier 2	1	1.6%	4-2-0	66.7%	71.2%	55.0%	59.3%	1275	↓ low
18		Fire Tera Diao Chan	Tier 3	1	1.6%	0-5-1	8.3%	35.0%	38.1%	42.3%	1086	↓ low
19		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	1.6%	4-2-0	66.7%	61.6%	52.9%	53.7%	1410	↑ top
20		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	1	1.6%	4-1-1	75.0%	69.9%	52.3%	55.4%	1480	↑ top
21		Water Crux Assassin	Tier 3	1	1.6%	1-5-0	16.7%	40.6%	45.5%	48.8%	1170	↓ low
22		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 3	1	1.6%	2-2-2	50.0%	43.6%	46.4%	45.7%	1317	—
23		Water Whirlpool Mill	Tier 2	1	1.6%	3-3-0	50.0%	56.7%	51.4%	53.7%	1173	↓ low
24		Wind Exia Jin	Tier 2	1	1.6%	2-3-1	41.7%	49.4%	51.4%	52.5%	1151	↓ low
25		Wind Luxem Zander	Tier 2	1	1.6%	3-3-0	50.0%	33.3%	50.4%	45.4%	1423	↑ top
26		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	1.6%	4-2-0	66.7%	50.8%	55.4%	52.2%	1351	—
27		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 3	1	1.6%	2-4-0	33.3%	30.5%	46.1%	41.0%	1517	↑ top
28		Wind Slimes	Tier 3	1	1.6%	1-3-0	25.0%	49.7%	47.3%	52.4%	1195	↓ low
29		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	1	1.6%	4-1-1	75.0%	72.2%	57.2%	60.3%	1407	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Slimes 9 decks · 14.1%
• Fire Crux Mage 6 decks · 9.4%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 5 decks · 7.8%
• Water Fractal 4 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 4 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Oblation 3 decks · 4.7%
• Fire Suzaku 3 decks · 4.7%
• Water Exia 3 decks · 4.7%
• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 3.1%
• Water Crux Mage 2 decks · 3.1%
• Water Genbu 2 decks · 3.1%
• Water Tera Kongming 2 decks · 3.1%
• Wind Astra Cleric 2 decks · 3.1%
• Wind Seiryuu 2 decks · 3.1%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 2 decks · 3.1%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Neos 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Tera Diao Chan 1 deck · 1.6%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 1.6%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 1.6%
• Water Crux Assassin 1 deck · 1.6%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 1.6%
• Water Whirlpool Mill 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Exia Jin 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Luxem Zander 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Slimes 1 deck · 1.6%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 1 deck · 1.6%