← Santa Clara Covention Center NorCal Regional hosted by Final Cut TCG
Fire SlimesTier 1
at Santa Clara Covention Center NorCal Regional hosted by Final Cut TCG
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.4% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.9% | -4.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.9% | -15.5 |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.3% | +6.0 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 68.4% | +17.7 |
| Fire Oblation | 4.7% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 38.1% | -6.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.6 |
| Water Exia | 4.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.4% | +14.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 41.2% | -8.4 |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.1 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 3.1% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 56.9% | +4.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +9.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.1% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 37.7% | -7.9 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.8% | -3.0 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.5% | +8.1 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.8% | -3.1 |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.5% | -7.2 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia Jin | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.2 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.7% | +23.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.8% | +23.7 |
| Wind Slimes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.8% | -22.7 |
Decklists · 9 from this event
The 9 public Fire Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 4 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Kind Beastcaller, Lustrous Slime, Verdant Scepter. Losers more often ran: Imperial Countermeasure, Gaia's Songbird, Tariff Ring.
Show all 37 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 23 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imperial Countermeasure | -0.75 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Kind Beastcaller | +0.75 | 3 | 0 | 1 | |
| Lustrous Slime | +0.75 | 3 | 0 | 1 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | -0.75 | 0 | 3 | 1 | |
| Verdant Scepter | +0.75 | 3 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.75 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.50 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nascent Blast | -0.50 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Protector Raccoon | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Undeniable Truth | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Mystic Purifier | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Ghastly Slime | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Twilight Slime | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Topsy Decree | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Smoke Out | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Infernal Vessel | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Orb of Sealing | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fluffy Shopkeep | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Perishing Florets | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Angelic Channeling | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime Eruption | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Blissful Calling | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inferno Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tera Sight | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |