← Santa Clara Covention Center NorCal Regional hosted by Final Cut TCG
Horse and TaxesTier 2
at Santa Clara Covention Center NorCal Regional hosted by Final Cut TCG
decks
1
(1.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-1-1
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
69.9%
avg ELO +10.6 per match
expected value
52.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1480
· median 1480
· range 1480–1480
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1042
Q1 1226
Q3 1428
1648
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Slimes | 14.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.5% | +7.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -7.7 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 4.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.1% | +17.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.6% | +23.3 |
| Water Exia | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +10.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +12.9 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia Jin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Horse and Taxes decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
