Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at Regional 0425
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 9.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 9.8% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 40.8% | -8.9 |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 7.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.6% | -7.1 |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 55.6% | +5.4 |
| Fire Oblation | 4.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.4 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +5.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.6% | +7.3 |
| Chess | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.9% | -6.5 |
| Water Genbu | 2.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.6% | +12.1 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.0% | +4.7 |
| Water Umbra Alice | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.9 |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 24 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 24 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calming Breeze | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Displace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sasha, Purifying Acolyte | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Seiryuu's Command | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseeched Fatestone | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Longtail Grovesward | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sunblessed Gazelle | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Benediction Angel | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aella, Zephyr's Hand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gildas, Faesworn Monarch | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Byakko's Command | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |