Regional 0425

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 2	4	9.8%	9-14-1	39.6%	47.0%	45.6%	48.2%	1214	↓ low
2		Wind Razorgale	Tier 1	4	9.8%	9-9-5	50.0%	52.7%	50.5%	51.6%	1266	—
3		Fire Umbra Alice	Tier 1	3	7.3%	6-7-5	47.2%	46.3%	52.0%	51.4%	1285	—
4		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	3	7.3%	11-4-2	70.6%	55.4%	53.3%	49.7%	1473	↑ top
5		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	3	7.3%	10-4-2	68.8%	53.1%	51.9%	48.6%	1420	↑ top
6		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	2	4.9%	6-5-1	54.2%	54.6%	51.1%	51.6%	1310	—
7		Fire Oblation	Tier 1	2	4.9%	6-3-2	63.6%	58.3%	54.4%	53.5%	1330	—
8		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	2	4.9%	5-6-1	45.8%	45.7%	48.0%	48.3%	1210	↓ low
9		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	2	4.9%	5-5-2	50.0%	51.9%	50.3%	51.3%	1261	—
10		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	2	4.9%	6-3-3	62.5%	54.2%	50.1%	49.6%	1422	↑ top
11		Chess	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-3-1	50.0%	46.5%	46.5%	45.6%	1191	↓ low
12		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	2.4%	2-2-0	50.0%	56.0%	50.0%	53.1%	1104	↓ low
13		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	2.4%	1-4-1	25.0%	41.3%	43.8%	46.2%	1172	↓ low
14		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-3-0	50.0%	53.9%	52.9%	53.3%	1292	—
15		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-4-0	42.9%	49.4%	47.3%	48.5%	1167	↓ low
16		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-2-1	58.3%	45.3%	52.5%	48.4%	1426	↑ top
17		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.4%	4-1-1	75.0%	56.0%	55.4%	52.6%	1455	↑ top
18		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-3-0	50.0%	50.1%	48.3%	48.8%	1292	—
19		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-2-1	58.3%	64.1%	52.1%	55.2%	1303	—
20		Water Umbra Alice	Tier 2	1	2.4%	0-4-1	10.0%	33.4%	44.0%	46.1%	1152	↓ low
21		Water Whirlpool Mill	Tier 2	1	2.4%	0-4-1	10.0%	33.4%	44.0%	46.1%	1152	↓ low
22		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-2-1	58.3%	68.9%	50.8%	55.2%	1099	↓ low
23		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.4%	0-5-0	0.0%	27.1%	37.3%	39.9%	1127	↓ low
24		Wind Exia	Tier 2	1	2.4%	2-3-1	41.7%	43.1%	46.7%	47.3%	1303	—
25		Wind Umbra Ciel	Tier 2	1	2.4%	2-3-1	41.7%	46.7%	50.8%	51.0%	1231	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 4 decks · 9.8%
• Wind Razorgale 4 decks · 9.8%
• Fire Umbra Alice 3 decks · 7.3%
• Water Aetherwing 3 decks · 7.3%
• Wind Seiryuu 3 decks · 7.3%
• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 4.9%
• Fire Oblation 2 decks · 4.9%
• Water Ravishing Mill 2 decks · 4.9%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 4.9%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 4.9%
• Chess 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Astra Ranger 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Umbra Alice 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Whirlpool Mill 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Exia 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Umbra Ciel 1 deck · 2.4%