CakeTCG RDO Online Regional

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	7	14.9%	12-16-2	43.3%	48.2%	46.7%	48.7%	1368	—
2		Wind Razorgale	Tier 1	5	10.6%	10-4-6	65.0%	50.3%	54.2%	50.3%	1434	—
3		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	4	8.5%	8-7-5	52.5%	50.1%	50.8%	50.4%	1404	—
4		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 1	3	6.4%	10-5-2	64.7%	56.7%	56.4%	53.5%	1480	↑ top
5		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	2	4.3%	1-6-0	14.3%	43.2%	41.7%	47.6%	1301	↓ low
6		Fire Suited	Tier 1	2	4.3%	6-5-1	54.2%	58.1%	52.0%	53.3%	1222	↓ low
7		Fire Suzaku	Tier 1	2	4.3%	9-3-1	73.1%	55.3%	54.2%	51.3%	1422	—
8		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	2	4.3%	5-2-3	65.0%	57.3%	54.9%	53.3%	1340	—
9		Water Exia	Tier 1	2	4.3%	4-5-2	45.5%	44.4%	50.2%	48.3%	1450	↑ top
10		Water Fractal	Tier 1	2	4.3%	3-4-2	44.4%	52.0%	51.3%	52.1%	1305	↓ low
11		Water Genbu	Tier 2	2	4.3%	2-5-0	28.6%	38.1%	46.7%	46.4%	1530	↑ top
12		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	2	4.3%	4-4-2	50.0%	51.8%	47.4%	49.8%	1338	—
13		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	2	4.3%	2-8-0	20.0%	46.5%	39.7%	48.0%	1167	↓ low
14		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 1	2	4.3%	6-4-3	57.7%	49.3%	55.9%	51.0%	1460	↑ top
15		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.1%	1-4-0	20.0%	47.2%	46.7%	50.9%	1121	↓ low
16		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.1%	3-1-2	66.7%	46.4%	52.2%	47.8%	1516	↑ top
17		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.1%	4-0-3	78.6%	59.4%	55.4%	53.3%	1517	↑ top
18		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	1	2.1%	1-3-0	25.0%	38.3%	43.1%	43.9%	1656	↑ top
19		Luxem Mordred	Tier 2	1	2.1%	0-5-0	0.0%	40.8%	40.0%	46.4%	1090	↓ low
20		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	2.1%	2-3-1	41.7%	46.2%	45.1%	47.8%	1353	—
21		Water Whirlpool Mill	Tier 2	1	2.1%	2-2-1	50.0%	53.1%	50.0%	51.3%	1276	↓ low
22		Wind Byakko	Tier 2	1	2.1%	3-4-0	42.9%	51.5%	49.4%	51.6%	1338	—
23		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	2.1%	4-2-0	66.7%	51.7%	48.7%	48.4%	1413	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Slimes 7 decks · 14.9%
• Wind Razorgale 5 decks · 10.6%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 4 decks · 8.5%
• Fire Aetherwing 3 decks · 6.4%
• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 4.3%
• Fire Suited 2 decks · 4.3%
• Fire Suzaku 2 decks · 4.3%
• Water Aetherwing 2 decks · 4.3%
• Water Exia 2 decks · 4.3%
• Water Fractal 2 decks · 4.3%
• Water Genbu 2 decks · 4.3%
• Wind Astra Cleric 2 decks · 4.3%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 4.3%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 2 decks · 4.3%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 2.1%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.1%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.1%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 2.1%
• Luxem Mordred 1 deck · 2.1%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 2.1%
• Water Whirlpool Mill 1 deck · 2.1%
• Wind Byakko 1 deck · 2.1%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 2.1%