← Whimsy RDO Store Championships
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Whimsy RDO Store Championships
decks
2
(4.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-6-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.6%
avg ELO -3.3 per match
expected value
46.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1347
· median 1347
· range 1339–1355
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1156
Q1 1280
Q3 1449
1642
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 9.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.7% | -1.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.5% | -13.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.8 |
| Fire Oblation | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exalted Mordred | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Nico | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
