← Whimsy RDO Store Championships
Water Crux AssassinTier 2
at Whimsy RDO Store Championships
decks
1
(2.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
0-3-2
overall winrate
20.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
34.7%
avg ELO -8.8 per match
expected value
43.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1234
· median 1234
· range 1234–1234
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1156
Q1 1280
Q3 1449
1642
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 9.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 41.1% | -8.5 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.9% | -17.7 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exalted Mordred | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Nico | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.2 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Crux Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
