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Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Whimsy RDO Store Championships
decks
2
(4.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
4-7-2
overall winrate
38.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.3%
avg ELO +2.2 per match
expected value
48.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1253
· median 1253
· range 1201–1305
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1156
Q1 1280
Q3 1449
1642
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 9.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.8% | +22.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.9% | +1.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.5% | +8.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.2% | +19.6 |
| Fire Oblation | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
| Fire Suited | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.7 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.1% | +17.7 |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.1% | -6.2 |
| Water Exalted Mordred | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.2% | -4.4 |
| Water Genbu | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.2% | -4.4 |
| Wind Nico | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.0 |
