Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at GOAT RDO Store Championship
decks
1
(3.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.9%
avg ELO +5.7 per match
expected value
44.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1075
· median 1075
· range 1075–1075
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1075
Q1 1150
Q3 1383
1492
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 15.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 9.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.1% | -3.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.3% | -7.6 |
| Fire Suited | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.3% | -4.3 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.5% | +18.4 |
| Fire Oblation | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.7% | +25.1 |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
