Wind RazorgaleTier 1
at GOAT RDO Store Championship
decks
3
(9.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
10-4-1
overall winrate
70.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.0%
avg ELO +0.4 per match
expected value
57.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1441
· median 1484
· range 1346–1492
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1075
Q1 1150
Q3 1383
1492
67% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 15.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.5% | +10.1 |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.4% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 57.8% | +7.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.6% | -23.0 |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +7.0 |
| Fire Suited | 6.2% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 28.9% | -13.5 |
| Water Allies | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.4 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.0 |
| Fire Oblation | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.3% | +3.6 |
| Wind Allies | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.5 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
