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Fire Neos TonorisTier 3

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decks
1 (1.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4 2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.3% avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
44.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.2% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1426 · median 1426 · range 1426–1426 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1000 Q1 1198 Q3 1383 1656
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 14.7% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 10.7% 0
Wind Allies 9.3% 0
Fire Aggro 8.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.9% -1.7
Fire Crux Mage 6.7% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 6.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.7% -2.0
Fire Slimes 5.3% 0
Fire Arcane 4.0% 0
Water Allies 4.0% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 4.0% 0
Fire Erupting 2.7% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.7% 0
Wind Neos 2.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.6% +1.0
Wind Overlord 2.7% 0
Fire Crux Hybrid 1.3% 0
Fire Neos 1.3% 0
Fire Umbra Diana 1.3% 0
Water Arcane 1.3% 0
Water Astra Cleric 1.3% 0
Water Diana 1.3% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 1.3% 0
Water Neos 1.3% 0
Water Tristan 1.3% 0
Water Umbra Diana 1.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.6% +1.0
Wind Lorraine 1.3% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 1.3% 0
Wind Slimes 1.3% 0
Wind Umbra Tristan 1.3% 0
Wind Vanitas 1.3% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Neos Tonoris decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/5288/archetypes/Fire Neos Tonoris