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Water Umbra DianaTier 2

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decks
1 (1.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4 1-2-1
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.5% avg ELO -0.3 per match
expected value
55.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1270 · median 1270 · range 1270–1270 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1000 Q1 1198 Q3 1383 1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 14.7% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 10.7% 0
Wind Allies 9.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.0% +1.6
Fire Aggro 8.0% 0
Fire Crux Mage 6.7% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 6.7% 0
Fire Slimes 5.3% 0
Fire Arcane 4.0% 0
Water Allies 4.0% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 4.0% 0
Fire Erupting 2.7% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.7% 0
Wind Neos 2.7% 0
Wind Overlord 2.7% 0
Fire Crux Hybrid 1.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.1% -1.5
Fire Neos 1.3% 0
Fire Neos Tonoris 1.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.4% -1.0
Fire Umbra Diana 1.3% 0
Water Arcane 1.3% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.7% -0.4
Water Astra Cleric 1.3% 0
Water Diana 1.3% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 1.3% 0
Water Neos 1.3% 0
Water Tristan 1.3% 0
Wind Lorraine 1.3% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 1.3% 0
Wind Slimes 1.3% 0
Wind Umbra Tristan 1.3% 0
Wind Vanitas 1.3% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Water Umbra Diana decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/5288/archetypes/Water Umbra Diana