← Game Kastle Greenville: Grand Archive Regional Championship
Fire Crux HybridTier 1
at Game Kastle Greenville: Grand Archive Regional Championship
decks
2
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
7-3-1
overall winrate
68.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.7%
avg ELO +6.0 per match
expected value
51.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1240
· median 1240
· range 1209–1271
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1054
Q1 1171
Q3 1357
1464
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -15.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.5 |
| Slimes | 9.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.7 |
| Water Neos | 6.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.8% | +15.2 |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arisanna | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Allies | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.5 |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.1 |
| Water Lorraine | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.4 |
| Wind Lorraine | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.7 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Hybrid decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
