TableCon Constructed Event

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Slimes	Tier 1	3	15.8%	5-3-0	62.5%	50.3%	50.0%	49.6%	1352	↑ top
2		Wind Allies	Tier 2	3	15.8%	5-7-0	41.7%	48.8%	48.9%	49.5%	1288	—
3		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	3	15.8%	11-7-0	61.1%	52.7%	55.6%	51.5%	1226	↓ low
4		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	2	10.5%	3-6-0	33.3%	46.2%	47.3%	48.7%	1290	—
5		Water Allies	Tier 2	2	10.5%	4-4-0	50.0%	51.5%	47.7%	50.6%	1356	↑ top
6		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	1	5.3%	4-1-0	80.0%	54.1%	58.9%	52.1%	1126	↓ low
7		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	5.3%	0-4-0	0.0%	46.3%	36.0%	47.7%	1206	↓ low
8		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 1	1	5.3%	4-1-0	80.0%	48.7%	58.8%	49.3%	1633	↑ top
9		Fire Erupting	Tier 1	1	5.3%	4-1-0	80.0%	54.1%	58.9%	52.1%	1126	↓ low
10		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	5.3%	0-3-0	0.0%	46.8%	35.0%	47.8%	1164	↓ low
11		Wind Slice & Dice	Tier 2	1	5.3%	2-2-0	50.0%	50.1%	45.7%	49.3%	1320	—
12		Wind Slimes	Tier 2	1	5.3%	1-4-0	20.0%	47.6%	40.0%	48.4%	1255	—
13		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	5.3%	2-2-0	50.0%	50.1%	45.7%	49.3%	1320	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Slimes 3 decks · 15.8%
• Wind Allies 3 decks · 15.8%
• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 15.8%
• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 10.5%
• Water Allies 2 decks · 10.5%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 5.3%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 5.3%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 1 deck · 5.3%
• Fire Erupting 1 deck · 5.3%
• Water Astra Cleric 1 deck · 5.3%
• Wind Slice & Dice 1 deck · 5.3%
• Wind Slimes 1 deck · 5.3%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 5.3%