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Michigan ALC Regionals

2024-03-09 · 2121 W Stadium Blvd, Ann Arbor, MI 48103, USA · season Alchemical Revolution · Standard

38 decks · 113 matches loaded. View: EV ranking · head-to-head matrix

Element distribution
Fire 66% Water 18% Wind 16%
Top archetypes
  1. Fire Umbra Ranger 13.2%
  2. Water Allies 13.2%
  3. Fire Luxem Assassin 10.5%
  4. Rogue 10.5%
  5. Fire Aggro 7.9%
Archetype Breakdown

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

# Archetype Tier Decks Share W-L-D Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1
Fire Umbra Ranger
Tier 1 5 14-13-0 51.9% 50.8% 46.7% 46.6% 1214 ↓ low
2
Water Allies
Tier 1 5 14-11-3 55.4% 57.5% 53.0% 54.2% 1256 —
3
Fire Luxem Assassin
Tier 1 4 11-11-1 50.0% 47.9% 50.0% 48.9% 1433 ↑ top
4 Rogue Tier 2 4 9-11-0 45.0% 46.6% 51.0% 51.0% 1277 —
5
Fire Aggro
Tier 1 3 10-7-1 58.3% 58.6% 52.1% 53.0% 1275 —
6
Fire Crux Mage
Tier 2 3 9-8-0 52.9% 52.1% 47.6% 47.8% 1290 —
7
Fire Erupting
Tier 2 3 7-9-1 44.1% 45.8% 46.5% 46.9% 1230 —
8
Wind Allies
Tier 1 3 14-4-0 77.8% 65.4% 60.9% 57.6% 1461 ↑ top
9
Fire Arcane
Tier 2 2 4-6-0 40.0% 45.1% 46.0% 47.0% 1295 —
10
Wind Arcane
Tier 2 2 3-7-0 30.0% 40.8% 45.4% 47.0% 1236 —
11
Fire Crux Hybrid
Tier 2 1 1-5-0 16.7% 31.1% 41.2% 41.9% 1116 ↓ low
12
Fire Crux Merlin
Tier 2 1 5-2-0 71.4% 63.7% 54.0% 54.1% 1214 ↓ low
13
Fire Neos Tonoris
Tier 2 1 2-4-0 33.3% 40.1% 45.9% 45.9% 1120 ↓ low
14
Water Astra Cleric
Tier 2 1 1-6-0 14.3% 29.9% 37.8% 39.0% 1099 ↓ low
15
Wind Umbra Ranger
Tier 2 1 3-3-0 50.0% 44.5% 50.6% 48.0% 1350 ↑ top
Final Placements · 38 players

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

Placement Player Record Deck
1 Matt 6-0-0 Wind Allies
2 Noel 5-1-0 Fire Luxem Assassin
3 NumberFour 5-1-0 Wind Allies
4 Carbonite 4-1-1 Water Allies
5 PhoenixNight 4-1-1 Fire Aggro
6 Pavonee 4-2-0 Water Allies
7 SleightofHam 4-2-0 Water Allies
8 CCMrMullen 4-2-0 Fire Luxem Assassin
9 yomojoho 4-2-0 Fire Umbra Ranger
10 TILTING 4-2-0 Fire Crux Mage
11 Dylan 4-2-0 —
12 MonoWater 4-2-0 Fire Crux Merlin
13 Froglessman 3-2-1 Fire Erupting
14 ChefZach 3-3-0 Wind Umbra Ranger
15 Steve 3-3-0 Fire Aggro
16 DadSmoocher 3-3-0 Fire Arcane
17 Walkingtall1821 3-3-0 —
18 Enju 3-3-0 Wind Allies
19 Dragonshack 3-3-0 Fire Crux Mage
20 RexKanin 3-3-0 Fire Luxem Assassin
21 Stavinill 3-3-0 Fire Umbra Ranger
22 Denemory 3-3-0 Fire Umbra Ranger
23 Brando 3-3-0 Fire Aggro
24 Lucian77 3-2-0 Fire Umbra Ranger
25 Kasault 2-3-1 Water Allies
26 Sir 2-4-0 Wind Arcane
27 Waterman09 2-4-0 Fire Arcane
28 Scrigz 2-4-0 —
29 DynamiteRainbow 2-4-0 Wind Arcane
30 NovaRascal 2-4-0 Fire Erupting
31 ArcaneGrimoire 2-3-0 Fire Crux Mage, Fire Erupting
32 AudioxMedic 2-4-0 —
33 Hero 2-4-0 Fire Neos Tonoris
34 ErkWitz 1-4-1 Water Allies
35 Innervision 1-5-0 Fire Umbra Ranger
36 HiddenGrotto 1-5-0 Fire Crux Hybrid
37 Miiyuhh 1-5-0 Water Astra Cleric
38 Lyss 0-5-1 Fire Luxem Assassin
Browse Decks · 15 archetypes

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.