Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Brood en Spelen Regionals
decks
2
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
1-7-3
overall winrate
22.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
31.8%
avg ELO -8.0 per match
expected value
41.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1273
· median 1273
· range 1265–1281
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1018
Q1 1189
Q3 1398
1520
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Erupting | 17.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.8% | -15.5 |
| Wind Allies | 17.9% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.3% | -5.0 |
| Water Allies | 14.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +1.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 10.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 10.7% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 42.1% | -7.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.1 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.4 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 3.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.5% | +2.3 |
