Fire Umbra RangerTier 2
at Brood en Spelen Regionals
decks
1
(3.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.6%
avg ELO -3.1 per match
expected value
44.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1158
· median 1158
· range 1158–1158
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1018
Q1 1189
Q3 1398
1520
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Erupting | 17.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 17.9% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 44.6% | -3.1 |
| Water Allies | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 10.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 10.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
