Brood en Spelen Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Erupting	Tier 1	5	17.9%	13-10-0	56.5%	53.5%	53.2%	52.2%	1277	—
2		Wind Allies	Tier 2	5	17.9%	10-15-1	40.4%	41.5%	42.9%	43.0%	1199	↓ low
3		Water Allies	Tier 1	4	14.3%	15-2-2	84.2%	74.6%	64.3%	62.4%	1355	↑ top
4		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	3	10.7%	7-8-1	46.9%	51.2%	49.1%	51.0%	1258	—
5		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 2	3	10.7%	5-6-4	46.7%	49.5%	47.2%	48.7%	1401	↑ top
6		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	3	10.7%	8-6-1	56.7%	55.3%	50.5%	51.0%	1403	↑ top
7		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	7.1%	1-7-3	22.7%	31.8%	41.6%	42.2%	1273	—
8		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	3.6%	2-3-0	40.0%	44.6%	44.4%	44.6%	1158	↓ low
9		Water Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	3.6%	2-4-0	33.3%	44.2%	45.7%	47.3%	1170	↓ low
10		Wind Beast	Tier 2	1	3.6%	1-3-1	30.0%	38.2%	43.9%	43.8%	1018	↓ low
11		Wind Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	3.6%	2-2-1	50.0%	46.0%	47.7%	46.8%	1366	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Erupting 5 decks · 17.9%
• Wind Allies 5 decks · 17.9%
• Water Allies 4 decks · 14.3%
• Fire Arcane 3 decks · 10.7%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 3 decks · 10.7%
• Fire Crux Mage 3 decks · 10.7%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 7.1%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 3.6%
• Water Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 3.6%
• Wind Beast 1 deck · 3.6%
• Wind Crux Mage 1 deck · 3.6%