Wind AlliesTier 2
at Brood en Spelen Regionals
decks
5
(17.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
26
10-15-1
overall winrate
40.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.5%
avg ELO -3.1 per match
expected value
42.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1199
· median 1188
· range 1123–1320
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1018
Q1 1189
Q3 1398
1520
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
60% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Erupting | 17.9% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.1% | -1.2 |
| Water Allies | 14.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.9% | -13.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 10.7% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 37.6% | -7.9 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 10.7% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 41.4% | -8.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.7% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 30.3% | -14.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.7% | +5.0 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 3.6% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 55.4% | +3.1 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 3.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | -1.6 |
| Wind Beast | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.9 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
