← CoreTCG Grand Archive Regional Championship
Fire Umbra DianaTier 3
at CoreTCG Grand Archive Regional Championship
decks
1
(1.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-4-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.8%
avg ELO -1.2 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1055
· median 1055
· range 1055–1055
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1005
Q1 1152
Q3 1344
1736
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 15.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Water Allies | 14.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 10.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.4% | +16.7 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 7.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 7.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -13.0 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.5% | -7.2 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Zander | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Vanitas | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arisanna | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Diana decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
