← Grand Archive ALC Regionals @GGG
Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at Grand Archive ALC Regionals @GGG
decks
1
(3.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
3-2-0
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.6%
avg ELO +1.5 per match
expected value
53.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1307
· median 1307
· range 1307–1307
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1057
Q1 1177
Q3 1377
1689
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 14.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.0% | -1.9 |
| Water Allies | 14.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Wind Allies | 14.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Fire Erupting | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rogue | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Arisanna | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
