← RWT Collective - MRC Store Champs
Fire EruptingTier 2
at RWT Collective - MRC Store Champs
decks
2
(5.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
4-6-1
overall winrate
40.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.7%
avg ELO -1.4 per match
expected value
48.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1469
· median 1469
· range 1457–1482
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1082
Q1 1154
Q3 1425
1593
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 22.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 20.0% | 4 | 0-3-1 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 37.1% | -8.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +1.0 |
| Wind Allies | 8.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.3% | +5.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Arisanna | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Beast | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.7 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Erupting decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
