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Water Luxem AssassinTier 2

at RWT Collective - MRC Store Champs

decks
1 (2.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6 1-2-3
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.2% avg ELO +0.7 per match
expected value
48.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1192 · median 1192 · range 1192–1192 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1082 Q1 1154 Q3 1425 1593
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 22.9% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 48.8% -1.9
Wind Shadowstrike 20.0% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 54.4% +7.0
Water Ravishing Mill 8.6% 0
Wind Allies 8.6% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 42.0% -7.7
Fire Aggro 5.7% 0
Fire Erupting 5.7% 0
Fire Arcane 2.9% 0
Fire Astra Arisanna 2.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.5% +13.6
Fire Crux Mage 2.9% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.4% +0.6
Water Beast 2.9% 0
Water Crux Merlin 2.9% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 2.9% 0
Wind Slice & Dice 2.9% 0
Wind Slimes 2.9% 0
Wind Vanitas 2.9% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Water Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/5971/archetypes/Water Luxem Assassin