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SlimesTier 2

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decks
8 (22.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
34 12-17-5
overall winrate
42.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.3% avg ELO -1.0 per match
expected value
45.1% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.2% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1205 · median 1156 · range 1110–1459 (8 pilots with an ELO rating)
1082 Q1 1154 Q3 1425 1593
12% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Shadowstrike 20.0% 6 2-4-0 33.3% 40.0% 41.3% -4.7
Water Ravishing Mill 8.6% 4 2-1-1 62.5% 56.2% 61.4% +7.3
Wind Allies 8.6% 6 0-6-0 0.0% 20.0% 28.1% -11.7
Fire Aggro 5.7% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 55.7% +4.3
Fire Erupting 5.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.9% -11.3
Fire Arcane 2.9% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 57.3% +7.0
Fire Astra Arisanna 2.9% 0
Fire Crux Mage 2.9% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 52.9% +4.6
Water Beast 2.9% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 54.8% +4.6
Water Crux Merlin 2.9% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 47.5% -2.4
Water Luxem Assassin 2.9% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 51.2% +1.9
Wind Luxem Assassin 2.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.1% +11.4
Wind Slice & Dice 2.9% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.6% -0.4
Wind Slimes 2.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 61.5% +18.4
Wind Vanitas 2.9% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 39.9% -9.7
Decklists · 8 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 6 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 6 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

Winners more often ran: Escape the Wreckage, Twilight Slime, Clockwork Musicbox. Losers more often ran: Slime King, Idle Thoughts, Baby Blue Slime.

Played more by winners
Escape the Wreckage
Winning decks ran 2.5 copies on average, losing decks 1.5.
Of 6 mirrors: the winner ran more in 4, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Twilight Slime
Winning decks ran 1.3 copies on average, losing decks 0.5.
Of 6 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 3.
Clockwork Musicbox
Winning decks ran 0.5 copies on average, losing decks 0.2.
Of 6 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 2.
Slime's Blessing
Winning decks ran 2.0 copies on average, losing decks 2.2.
Of 6 mirrors: the winner ran more in 4, the loser ran more in 2, both ran the same in 0.
Reprogram
Winning decks ran 1.7 copies on average, losing decks 1.2.
Of 6 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 2.
Forest Cake
Winning decks ran 3.7 copies on average, losing decks 3.3.
Of 6 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 3.
Played more by losers
Slime King
Losing decks ran 2.3 copies on average, winning decks 1.8.
Of 6 mirrors: the loser ran more in 4, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Idle Thoughts
Losing decks ran 1.7 copies on average, winning decks 0.5.
Of 6 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 0, both ran the same in 3.
Baby Blue Slime
Losing decks ran 2.5 copies on average, winning decks 2.3.
Of 6 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 2.
Verdant Scepter
Losing decks ran 0.8 copies on average, winning decks 0.5.
Of 6 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 2.
Fast Cure
Losing decks ran 1.3 copies on average, winning decks 0.5.
Of 6 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 2.
Gaia's Songbird
Losing decks ran 1.0 copy on average, winning decks 1.0.
Of 6 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 2, both ran the same in 1.
Show all 52 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 32 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Slime King -0.50 1 4 1
Escape the Wreckage +0.50 4 1 0
Twilight Slime +0.50 3 0 1
Idle Thoughts -0.50 0 3 0
Dungeon Guide +0.33 2 0 3
Blissful Calling +0.33 2 0 2
Clockwork Musicbox +0.33 3 1 0
Slime's Blessing +0.33 4 2 0
Backup Charger +0.33 2 0 3
Baby Blue Slime -0.33 1 3 2
Hymn of Gaia's Grace +0.33 2 0 2
Turbo Charge +0.33 2 0 0
Reprogram +0.33 3 1 0
Slime Eruption -0.33 0 2 4
Quicksilver Grail +0.33 2 0 3
Verdant Scepter -0.33 1 3 2
Baby Green Slime +0.33 2 0 4
Ordinary Bear -0.33 0 2 0
Fast Cure -0.33 1 3 0
Beastbond Paws -0.33 0 2 2
Life Essence Amulet -0.33 0 2 2
Red Slime -0.33 0 2 1
Resolute Stand +0.17 1 0 0
Horn of Beastcalling +0.17 1 0 5
Forest Cake +0.17 2 1 3
Engineered Slime +0.17 2 1 0
Slimeshield +0.17 2 1 3
Beastbond Boots +0.17 2 1 2
Covenant of Thorns +0.17 1 0 5
Meadowbloom Dryad +0.17 2 1 0
Bestial Frenzy +0.17 2 1 0
Gaia's Songbird -0.17 2 3 0
Stonescale Band +0.17 1 0 5
Verdant Slime -0.17 2 3 1
Gaia's Blessing +0.17 1 0 5
Beastbond Ears +0.17 2 1 3
Tithe Proclamation +0.17 1 0 0
Viridian Protective Trinket +0.17 2 1 0
Morgan, Soul Guide +0.17 1 0 0
Avatar of Gaia -0.17 1 2 0
Tariff Ring -0.17 1 2 0
Blue Slime -0.17 1 2 0
Slime Totem -0.17 1 2 0
Key Slime Pudding -0.17 0 1 0
Bauble of Mending -0.17 0 1 0
Slime Nexus -0.17 0 1 0
Ethereal Slime +0.00 1 1 4
Vampiric Slime +0.00 2 2 0
Lustrous Slime +0.00 2 2 2
Scavenging Raccoon +0.00 1 1 0
Green Slime +0.00 1 1 0
Flute of Taming +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/5971/archetypes/Slimes