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Wind AlliesTier 1
at RWT Collective - MRC Store Champs
decks
3
(8.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16
9-6-1
overall winrate
59.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.1%
avg ELO -0.8 per match
expected value
57.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1362
· median 1413
· range 1245–1426
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1082
Q1 1154
Q3 1425
1593
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 22.9% | 6 | 6-0-0 | 100.0% | 80.0% | 71.9% | +11.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 20.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.6% | -3.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.8% | -15.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.0% | -20.8 |
| Fire Erupting | 5.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.7% | -5.1 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Arisanna | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Beast | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.0% | +7.7 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.5% | -15.8 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
