← RWT Collective - MRC Store Champs
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at RWT Collective - MRC Store Champs
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 22.9% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +4.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.6% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 37.9% | -7.8 |
| Wind Allies | 8.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +3.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.7% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 57.5% | +5.6 |
| Fire Erupting | 5.7% | 4 | 3-0-1 | 87.5% | 68.8% | 62.9% | +8.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Arisanna | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +6.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.4% | +11.9 |
| Water Beast | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -13.0 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.2 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.6% | -7.0 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.2% | +12.6 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.4 |
| Wind Slimes | 2.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.6% | +12.1 |
| Wind Vanitas | 2.9% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 42.8% | -4.6 |
Decklists · 7 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 6 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 6 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Zephyr, Penumbral Waltz, Stifling Trap. Losers more often ran: Resolute Stand, Cleansing Reunion, Disorienting Winds.
Show all 35 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 15 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -0.50 | 1 | 4 | 1 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +0.33 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Zephyr | +0.33 | 3 | 1 | 2 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | +0.33 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Disorienting Winds | -0.17 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -0.17 | 2 | 3 | 1 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Umbra Sight | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Inspiring Call | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shadowstrike | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.17 | 2 | 3 | 1 | |
| Blinding Orb | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Chalice of Blood | -0.17 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | -0.17 | 2 | 3 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Arrow Trap | -0.17 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.17 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Corhazi Outlook | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Innervate Agility | -0.17 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
| Shadow Resonance | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Scout the Land | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Accepted Contract | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sharpening Stone | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Betraying Blade | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |