← Yeti Gaming Webcam Local 6/20

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Yeti Gaming Webcam Local 6/20. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Water Allies 2 3.0% 8 75.0% 50.4% 58.9% 50.2% 1380 ↑ top
2 Fire Crux Hybrid 1 1.5% 4 87.5% 51.1% 58.1% 50.6% 1593 ↑ top
3 Wind Allies 8 12.1% 22 70.5% 51.5% 57.1% 50.7% 1360
4 Water Crux Lorraine 1 1.5% 4 75.0% 50.8% 54.4% 50.3% 1536 ↑ top
5 Water Arcane 1 1.5% 4 75.0% 51.5% 53.3% 50.6% 1404 ↑ top
6 Fire Crux Merlin 1 1.5% 4 75.0% 51.1% 52.0% 50.2% 1219 ↓ low
7 Wind Shadowstrike 7 10.6% 26 59.6% 50.4% 51.9% 49.9% 1321
8 Slimes 12 18.2% 37 51.4% 50.3% 51.1% 50.2% 1321
9 Dawn of Ashes 1 1.5% 4 50.0% 49.2% 50.8% 49.6% 1329
10 Wind Dawn of Ashes 1 1.5% 4 50.0% 50.0% 49.3% 49.9% 1345
11 Fire Erupting 1 1.5% 4 50.0% 50.4% 49.0% 50.2% 1223 ↓ low
12 Fire Arcane 4 6.1% 14 42.9% 49.9% 48.5% 50.0% 1225 ↓ low
13 Water Arisanna 1 1.5% 4 50.0% 50.1% 48.3% 49.9% 1444 ↑ top
14 Water Luxem Assassin 1 1.5% 4 25.0% 49.0% 48.2% 49.7% 1192 ↓ low
15 Fire Crux Mage 6 9.1% 18 44.4% 49.7% 47.4% 49.8% 1256
16 Water Ravishing Mill 4 6.1% 14 42.9% 49.7% 47.4% 49.9% 1258
17 Fire Slimes 3 4.5% 9 38.9% 49.6% 47.2% 49.8% 1302
18 Fire Aggro 1 1.5% 4 50.0% 51.0% 45.7% 50.3% 1090 ↓ low
19 Wind Tera Silvie 1 1.5% 4 25.0% 49.2% 45.0% 49.8% 1170 ↓ low
20 Fire Astra Cleric 1 1.5% 2 0.0% 49.0% 40.0% 49.4% 1152 ↓ low
21 Water Overlord 1 1.5% 2 0.0% 48.2% 40.0% 48.9% 1359
22 Wind Neos 1 1.5% 2 0.0% 48.0% 40.0% 48.8% 1426 ↑ top
23 Water Astra Cleric 1 1.5% 4 25.0% 49.2% 37.3% 48.9% 1212 ↓ low
24 Water Neos 5 7.6% 13 30.8% 48.1% 36.9% 48.6% 1363
25 Water Crux Merlin 1 1.5% 3 0.0% 48.3% 36.4% 48.9% 1270