Card Merchant Hamilton Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Allies	Tier 1	9	19.6%	19-19-5	50.0%	46.3%	50.5%	48.5%	1328	—
2		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	6	13.0%	14-15-1	48.3%	51.7%	48.4%	50.1%	1316	—
3		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	6	13.0%	13-9-4	57.7%	64.5%	53.5%	56.7%	1270	—
4		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	6	13.0%	11-15-6	43.8%	45.0%	45.0%	44.8%	1293	—
5		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 1	5	10.9%	13-10-3	55.8%	50.8%	54.8%	53.2%	1390	↑ top
6		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	3	6.5%	5-10-2	35.3%	36.2%	43.7%	42.3%	1243	↓ low
7		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	2	4.3%	7-5-2	57.1%	52.6%	54.6%	53.6%	1332	—
8		Wind Slimes	Tier 2	2	4.3%	6-5-2	53.8%	57.3%	48.8%	50.7%	1320	—
9		Fire Beast	Tier 2	1	2.2%	0-3-0	0.0%	34.8%	40.0%	44.6%	1474	↑ top
10		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.2%	3-3-0	50.0%	44.7%	45.6%	44.6%	1232	↓ low
11		Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.2%	2-1-3	58.3%	54.0%	54.2%	53.8%	1339	—
12		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	2.2%	7-1-1	83.3%	65.4%	60.1%	56.8%	1513	↑ top
13		Water Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.2%	0-3-2	20.0%	34.3%	42.5%	43.3%	1074	↓ low
14		Water Tera Silvie	Tier 2	1	2.2%	2-3-1	41.7%	51.0%	52.3%	53.1%	1396	↑ top
15		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.2%	1-1-4	50.0%	50.6%	50.5%	51.4%	1183	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Allies 9 decks · 19.6%
• Fire Slimes 6 decks · 13.0%
• Water Ravishing Mill 6 decks · 13.0%
• Wind Shadowstrike 6 decks · 13.0%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 5 decks · 10.9%
• Fire Arcane 3 decks · 6.5%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 4.3%
• Wind Slimes 2 decks · 4.3%
• Fire Beast 1 deck · 2.2%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.2%
• Slimes 1 deck · 2.2%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 2.2%
• Water Slimes 1 deck · 2.2%
• Water Tera Silvie 1 deck · 2.2%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.2%