← Card Merchant Hamilton Regionals
Wind SlimesTier 2
at Card Merchant Hamilton Regionals
decks
2
(4.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
6-5-2
overall winrate
53.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.3%
avg ELO +3.0 per match
expected value
48.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1320
· median 1320
· range 1183–1458
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1036
Q1 1216
Q3 1395
1599
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 19.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 46.9% | -3.0 |
| Fire Slimes | 13.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 13.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.2% | -2.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.5% | +2.5 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 10.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.9% | +6.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.7 |
| Fire Beast | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.0% | +17.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.8 |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.9 |
