← Card Merchant Hamilton Regionals
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at Card Merchant Hamilton Regionals
decks
2
(4.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
7-5-2
overall winrate
57.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.6%
avg ELO +1.1 per match
expected value
54.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1332
· median 1332
· range 1320–1345
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1036
Q1 1216
Q3 1395
1599
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 19.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.8% | +12.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 13.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 13.0% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 33.5% | -9.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.7% | +4.5 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 10.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.2% | +19.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 6.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Wind Slimes | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.7 |
| Fire Beast | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.4 |
| Water Allies | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.0% | -4.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
