Fire Umbra RangerTier 2
at 松江貓 店家冠軍賽
decks
1
(2.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.4%
avg ELO -2.6 per match
expected value
50.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1122
· median 1122
· range 1122–1122
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1043
Q1 1251
Q3 1399
1543
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 22.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 22.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.7% | -1.3 |
| Wind Allies | 12.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.2 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
