SlimesTier 1
at 松江貓 店家冠軍賽
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 22.4% | 10 | 4-4-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -0.4 |
| Wind Allies | 12.2% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 47.2% | -1.6 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.2% | 9 | 8-1-0 | 88.9% | 76.9% | 73.8% | +11.0 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.1% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 47.0% | -1.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -11.9 |
| Wind Beast | 4.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 40.7% | -7.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.2 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +7.9 |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.8 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.1% | +6.8 |
| Water Neos | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.5 |
| Wind Slimes | 2.0% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.6% | +4.4 |
Decklists · 11 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 6 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 6 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Vampiric Slime, Lustrous Slime, Slime King. Losers more often ran: Hymn of Gaia's Grace, Beastbond Ears, Escape the Wreckage.
Show all 46 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 29 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vampiric Slime | +0.67 | 4 | 0 | 2 | |
| Lustrous Slime | +0.67 | 4 | 0 | 2 | |
| Slime King | +0.50 | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | -0.50 | 1 | 4 | 1 | |
| Beastbond Ears | -0.50 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Mechanical Hare | +0.50 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.33 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +0.33 | 3 | 1 | 2 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.33 | 3 | 1 | 2 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | +0.33 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| Slime Eruption | +0.33 | 3 | 1 | 2 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | -0.33 | 1 | 3 | 2 | |
| Beastbond Paws | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Baby Blue Slime | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Blissful Calling | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ethereal Slime | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Blue Slime | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Engineered Slime | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Green Slime | -0.17 | 2 | 3 | 1 | |
| Slimeshield | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Verdant Scepter | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Baby Green Slime | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| Verdant Slime | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Twilight Slime | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Crimson Protective Trinket | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Baby Red Slime | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Young Beastbonder | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tera Sight | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Geldus, Terror of Dorumegia | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gather Slimes | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Slime's Blessing | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Academy Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |