Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at 松江貓 店家冠軍賽
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 22.4% | 10 | 4-4-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +0.4 |
| Wind Allies | 12.2% | 9 | 5-4-0 | 55.6% | 53.8% | 59.0% | +4.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.2% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 43.3% | -4.3 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 48.4% | -1.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.4 |
| Wind Beast | 4.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.1% | +14.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.6% | -19.8 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.3% | +1.3 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.1% | -4.7 |
| Water Neos | 2.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.7% | -2.2 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.7 |
Decklists · 11 from this event
The 11 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches (3 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 22 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gloamspire Mantle | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Sable Remnant | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Reclaim | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Slice and Dice | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Reprogram | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Shadow's Claw | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Zephyr | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Innervate Agility | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |