Wind AlliesTier 1
at 松江貓 店家冠軍賽
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 22.4% | 5 | 3-1-1 | 70.0% | 61.1% | 52.8% | +1.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 22.4% | 9 | 4-5-0 | 44.4% | 46.2% | 41.0% | -4.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.5 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.1% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 34.2% | -11.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 53.7% | +2.7 |
| Wind Beast | 4.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.4% | -18.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.5% | -16.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.2 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.6% | +18.6 |
| Water Neos | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 48 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 48 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy Swing | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tonoris, Lone Mercenary | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Bulwark Sword | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Prototype Pistol | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Windpiercer | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Attune with the Winds | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Woodland Squirrels | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tonoris, Might of Humanity | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Song of Nurturing | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mark of Fervor | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Charged Mannequin | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Cell Vanguard | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Coating Oil | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Incapacitate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Reclaim | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diablerie | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Manufacture Cell | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Zephyr | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Innervate Agility | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vigilant Sentry | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Winbless Gatekeeper | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inspiring Call | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |