← IanTCG MRC Regional

SlimesTier 2

at IanTCG MRC Regional

decks
5 (18.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
19 5-13-1
overall winrate
28.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.4% avg ELO -4.5 per match
expected value
42.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1183 · median 1130 · range 1078–1366 (5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1066 Q1 1182 Q3 1399 1520
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 60% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Allies 14.8% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 37.4% -12.0
Wind Shadowstrike 14.8% 4 1-3-0 25.0% 37.5% 43.8% -4.0
Fire Crux Hybrid 7.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 62.1% +19.4
Fire Slimes 7.4% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 7.4% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.9% -0.1
Fire Aggro 3.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.8% +14.1
Fire Arcane 3.7% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 3.7% 0
Water Allies 3.7% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 36.6% -12.9
Water Neos 3.7% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 36.6% -12.9
Water Overlord 3.7% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 33.9% -15.4
Wind Astra Cleric 3.7% 0
Wind Lorraine 3.7% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 44.5% -5.2
Wind Umbra Diana 3.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.5% +13.6
Decklists · 5 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 38 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 38 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Escape the Wreckage +1.00 2 0 0
Horn of Beastcalling +0.50 1 0 1
Beastbond Paws -0.50 0 1 1
Dungeon Guide +0.50 1 0 1
Blissful Calling +0.50 1 0 1
Engineered Slime +0.50 1 0 1
Slime King -0.50 0 1 1
Green Slime -0.50 0 1 1
Slimeshield -0.50 0 1 1
Beastbond Boots +0.50 1 0 0
Slime's Blessing -0.50 0 1 1
Backup Charger +0.50 1 0 1
Hymn of Gaia's Grace +0.50 1 0 1
Gaia's Songbird +0.50 1 0 1
Reprogram +0.50 1 0 1
Slime Eruption -0.50 0 1 1
Quicksilver Grail +0.50 1 0 1
Stonescale Band +0.50 1 0 1
Baby Green Slime +0.50 1 0 1
Verdant Slime -0.50 0 1 1
Gaia's Blessing +0.50 1 0 1
Crimson Protective Trinket +0.50 1 0 0
Baby Red Slime +0.50 1 0 1
Key Slime Pudding -0.50 0 1 0
Smack with Flute -0.50 0 1 0
Life Essence Amulet -0.50 0 1 0
Lustrous Slime -0.50 0 1 0
Convoking Slime -0.50 0 1 0
Blue Slime -0.50 0 1 0
Idle Thoughts -0.50 0 1 0
Slime Totem -0.50 0 1 0
Baby Blue Slime -0.50 0 1 0
Song of Nurturing -0.50 0 1 0
Bedivere, Woodland Overseer -0.50 0 1 0
Red Slime -0.50 0 1 0
Slime Nexus -0.50 0 1 0
Bestial Frenzy +0.00 1 1 0
Twilight Slime +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/7207/archetypes/Slimes